Monday, January 6, 2014

Why Windfall tax is the Solution by N'gandu Magande (Former Finance Minister)

Windfall Tax

Recently we wrote an article explaining why we thought Windfall tax is not the solution in taxing the mines. We have had the great pleasure of receiving some feedback from the Former Finance Minister Ngandu Magande who is a proponent of windfall tax.

Filled with valuable insight, below is his line of argument which we have deemed as a very much worthy a counter balance to our approach. The choice now lies in the public not to take sides but pick information from both sides to make a better tax framework.

Windfall Tax by N'gandu Magande


2008 Budget Speech Introducing the New Mining Tax Regime


1.            Mr. Speaker, I beg to move that the House do now resolve into Committee of Supply on the Estimates of Revenue and Expenditure for the year 1st January 2008 to 31st December 2008, presented to the National Assembly in January 2008.

2.            Sir, I am the bearer of a message from His Excellency the President recommending favourable consideration of the motion I now lay on the Table.

3.            Mr. Speaker, over the past five years, the nation has achieved macroeconomic stability characterised by growth in the real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in excess of 5 percent per annum, the reduction of inflation to single digit, a stable exchange rate, declining interest rates, a stable financial system, the removal of the external debt burden, and a substantial build-up in foreign exchange reserves. These achievements have resulted in notable successes in the creation of jobs and wealth, and the reduction in poverty levels.

4.            Sir, our cherished and chosen vision is to be a prosperous middle income country by 2030. This will be achieved by creating a nation of dynamic, self confident and vibrant entrepreneurs. Our foremost challenge, this year and in the medium-term, is to create the fiscal space that will allow us to marshal both human and financial resources. This will enable us to accelerate the implementation of the Fifth National Development Plan.

5.            Mr. Speaker, to realise this vision, the theme of this year’s budget is Unlocking Resources for Economic Empowerment and Wealth Creation.”

6.            Mr. Speaker, the preparation of this Budget has benefited from broad-based consultations with various stakeholders. This is in line with this Government’s policy of openness and transparency. I, therefore, wish to express my utmost gratitude for the valuable contributions made by various organisations and individuals.


Changes to the Mining Fiscal and Regulatory Regime


144.Mr. Speaker, in my 2007 Budget Address to this august House, I proposed new tax measures for the mining sector. I also informed the nation that the Government would engage mining companies, with whom we had signed Development Agreements, as part of the process of introducing the new tax regime for the mining sector.

145.Sir, given the complexity of the mining sector, a team of experts was appointed to study this matter in great detail. The findings of the study show that:
(a)           the Development Agreements in their current form are lopsided; and
(b)          even if mining companies were to move to the 2007 tax regime, the country would still not get a fair share from its mineral resources.

146.Sir, the Government has, therefore, decided to introduce a new fiscal and regulatory regime in order to bring about an equitable distribution of the mineral wealth between the Government and the mining companies.

147.Mr. Speaker, effective 1st April 2008, the new fiscal regime for the mining sector will include the following:
(a)           The corporate tax rate will be 30 percent;
(b)          Mineral royalty rate on base metals will be 3 percent of gross value;
(c)           Withholding tax on interest, royalties, management fees and payments to affiliates or subcontractors in the mining sector will be at the rate of 15 percent;
(d)          Withholding tax on dividend will be at zero percent;
(e)           A variable profit tax of up to 15 percent on taxable income, which is above 8 percent of the gross income, will be introduced;
(f)           A windfall tax will be introduced to be triggered at different price levels for different base metals. For copper, the windfall tax shall be 25 percent at the copper price of US $2.50 per pound but below US $3.00 per pound, 50 percent at price for the next 50 cents increase in price and 75 percent for price above US $3.50 per pound;
(g)          Hedging as a risk management mechanism shall be treated as a separate activity from mining;  
(h)          Capital allowance, that is a depreciation of capital equipment, shall be reduced from 100 percent to 25 percent per year;
(i)            A reference price, which shall be the deemed arms length price, shall be introduced for the purposes of assessing mineral royalties and any transaction for the sale of base metals, gemstones or precious metals between related or associated parties. The reference price shall be the price tenable at the London Metal Exchange, metal Bulletin or any other commodity exchange market recognised by the Commissioner General; and
(j)            Capital expenditures on new projects shall be ring fenced and only become deductible when the projects start production. 

148.Mr. Speaker, the new mining regulatory framework will be provided for in the Mines and Minerals Act. The framework will also have a modern licensing system based on transparent procedures.

149.Sir, these measures are competitive, reasonable and balanced. The expected additional revenues, in 2008, as a result of these new measures are estimated at US $415 million.


Line of Reasoning

In the 2008 Budget Speech I delivered under which the windfall tax was introduced in the Zambian tax regime. I and officials took time to discuss with individual mining companies on these proposals between February and May 2008. They agreed to the tax with observations that it will take away some of their income.
The price of copper then had risen from US $2,000 in 2002 to US $7,500 in 2007 per tonne, ie less than US $1 per pound to US $3.4 per pound. Somewhere in 2008, the price rocketed to just below US $10,000 per tonne or US $4.2 per pound. Most of the mining houses had invested in the early 2000's on the basis of a projected best price of US $2.5/lb and a breakeven price of less than US$2.00/lb. These statistics were presented by both parties and discussed in our meetings in 2008. Just enquire with Chibuluma Mines whether they had a meeting with me and officials at 0930 on 6th March and at 1100 hours on 18th March 2008. The government team and mining company officials agreed that prices of over US $3/lb were a windfall to be shared by the owner/introducer of the new technology and the owner/guardian of the historical God-given copper deposits. we all realized that many mines would recover their CAPEX and other initial costs in a short time than had been projected at the beginning of the century.
Our meetings with the individual mining companies in 2007 and 2008, opened by inviting them to present their investment plans which contained estimated costs of production and anticipated income. From these numbers, both sides were aware of the break-even numbers. Each mining company had its unique set of figures. All of them were above the 18 % margin, which is the world average rate for mining operations
Variable tax was on taxable income below $2.5 per pound (lb). The windfall tax was for any additional taxable income above this threshold. They were and could not be applied on the same income. All this was explained to the companies on individual basis. On 30th June 2008, the Deputy Commissioner General of ZRA had a meeting in Chingola with Finance Directors of all mining companies. he explained the new tax and a new variation to collecting the windfall tax. They all agreed that they understood the procedure, which was given later in writing. The following is the text:

"The Commissioner General of ZRA to collect the windfall tax as a provisional tax at the lowest rate of 25 percent only, so that the mining companies are not adversely affected during the year. The full effective tax rate will be calculated at the end of the operating year and the windfall tax will then be adjusted accordingly to a maximum of 47 percent. We project that in spite of these adjustments in the collection of the windfall tax, we will still achieve a collection of around US $400 million by the end of the year."

Example Calculation of Windfall Tax

TAXES FOR A MINE PRODUCING 50,000 TONNES OF COPPER IN ZAMBIA


PARAMETERS

  1. TOTAL PRODUCTION:                                                50,000 TONNES
  2. PRICE PER TONNE:                                         US $7,000 LME
  3. GROSS INCOME:                                            US $350,000,000
  4. COST OF PRODUCTION (30 %);                     US $105,000,000
  5. TAXABLE INCOME:                                         US $245,000,000
  6. CORPORATE TAX (30 %);                                                                   US $73,500,000
  7. MINERAL TAX (6% OF GROSS VALUE):                                             US   $21,000,000
  8. WINDFALL TAX:          25% between US $2.5 but below 3.00/lb (6,000 to 7,000)
25% x 50,000 x 7,000 =           US $87,500,000
50% for every 50 cents increase above 3.00 (7,000 to 8,000)
            50% x 100,000 x (7,000 minus 7,000) = US $0
75% for every 50 cents increase above 3.5 (above 8,000)
75% x 100,000 x (7,000 minus 7,000) = US$0
I.        TOTAL TAXES:   F + G  +  H + I =   73.5 + 21 + 87.5   = US $182,000,000 =52% of Gross Income
N.B: Variable tax was on taxable income below $2.5 per pound (lb). The windfall tax was for any additional taxable income above this threshold. They were and could not be applied on the same income

The formula is mathematical and the numbers could  be changed, but the rationale of sharing the WINDFALL INCOME should be maintained. The farmer must enjoy the golden eggs while looking after the Goose as it is getting old and will soon die!

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